Solar cycle forecasting: A nonlinear dynamics approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Solar cycle forecasting: A nonlinear dynamics approach
The problem of prediction of a given time series is examined on the basis of recent nonlinear dynamics theories. Particular attention is devoted to forecast the amplitude and phase of one of the most common solar indicator activities, the international monthly smoothed sunspot number. It is well known that the solar cycle is very difficult to predict due to the intrinsic complexity of the relat...
متن کاملTime Series Forecasting: a Nonlinear Dynamics Approach
The problem of prediction of a given time series is examined on the basis of recent nonlinear dynamics theories. Particular attention is devoted to forecast the amplitude and phase of one of the most common solar indicator activity, the international monthly smoothed sunspot number. It is well known that the solar cycle is very difficult to predict due to the intrinsic complexity of the related...
متن کاملSolar cycle variations of solar wind dynamics and structures
This paper reviews solar cycle variations in the heliosphere. We show that some solar cycle changes, such as the correlation between speed and density, result from the evolution of the solar structure from dipolar with strong latitudinal gradients at solar minimum to a disordered field with little latitudinal variation at solar maximum. Other changes, such as the variation of the solar wind dyn...
متن کاملA Nonlinear Dynamics Approach for Urban Water Resources Demand Forecasting and Planning
Over the past decades, controversial and conflict-laden water allocation issues among competing domestic, industrial and agricultural water use as well as urban environmental flows have raised increasing concerns (Huang & Chang, 2003); Particularly, Such competition has been exacerbated by the growing population, rapidly economic growth, deteriorating quality of water resources, and shrinking w...
متن کاملSolar radiation: Cloudiness forecasting using a soft computing approach
Solar energy is one of the most important energy sources with increasing penetration into the power supply systems of many countries, due to the reduced environmental impact of its operation. One of the important factors of the efficiency of photovoltaic systems is the predictability of solar radiation, which depends on the clouds and the meteorological conditions, the occurrence of which is a ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Astronomy and Astrophysics
سال: 2001
ISSN: 0004-6361,1432-0756
DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361:20011068